Prediction based on nominations [Feb. 5]
NOMINEES
1. Mahershala Ali, “Moonlight”
2. Jeff Bridges, “Hell or High Water”
3. Lucas Hedges, “Manchester By The Sea”
4. Dev Patel, “Lion”
5. Michael Shannon, “Nocturnal Animals”
PREVIOUS CONTENDERS (for historical context)
Hugh Grant, “Florence Foster Jenkins”
Aaron Taylor-Johson, “Nocturnal Animals”
Kevin Costner, “Hidden Figures”
Aaron Eckhart, “Bleed For This”
Ralph Fiennes, “A Bigger Splash”
Ben Foster, “Hell or High Water”
Andre Holland, “Moonlight”
Simon Helberg, “Florence Foster Jenkins”
Stephen McKinley Henderson, “Fences”
Liam Neeson, “Silence”
Sunny Pawer, “Lion”
Trevante Rhodes, “Moonlight”
Gregory Ellwood’s Current Oscar Predictions:
Best Picture
Director
Best Actress
Best Actor
Best Supporting Actress
Best Supporting Actor
Original Screenplay
Adapted Screenplay
Editing
Cinematography
Production Design
Animated Feature Film
Foreign Language Film
Documentary Feature
Original Score
Original Song
Costume Design
Makeup and Hairstyling
Visual Effects
Sound Mixing
Sound Editing
I’m gonna put my money on Neeson seeing how he has never won and is due.
Of course it’s impossible to know anything until anyone’s actually seen the movie, but he seems to be the favorite for a lot of people going in. I’m still not 100% sure the role will have enough screen time for a win, but if “Silence” stays at around three hours, even if he’s only on screen for a relatively small section of the movie that could equate to a decent amount of screen time. And it’s certainly a very important role.
You mean Simon Helberg for FFJ, not Simon Kinberg.
does costner really have a shot for oscar nom. Hidden figures has not even came out yet. PLus despite being talented i have feeling oscars will hold waterworld and postman against kevin
Saw 20 plus minutes at TIFF. Yes he does, but it’s early. He’s the most borderline of the top 5.
hidden figures only showed some of its footage not whole movie that might be bad sign hidden figures could get a best picture nom given oscars are so white guilt maybe even a nod to one of the girls. However I do not see it giving kevin best supporting nom.His role might not be flashy enough and he might be overshadowed by the girls. He is my 2nd favorite actor (hanks is first) so it would be great if he got nom but I unfortunately do not see it happening. However if this movie is still a hit appearing in it would give it a big boost.
What about John Goodman in 10 Cloverfield Lane
I wish there was at least a little buzz for Tom Bennett in Love and Friendship. He was hilarious in that film.